728
FXXX12 KWNP 011231
DAYDIS

:Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2024 Jul 01 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#             Forecast Discussion
#
Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity reached moderate levels. Region 3729 (S04E07, Fsi/beta)
remained the most complex on the disk. Region 3732 (S18W18, Dao/beta)
and Region 3730 (S17W40, Dro/beta) exhibited growth among their spots.
An M2.1 flare (R1-Minor) at 01/1102 UTC from Region 3730 was the largest
of the period. The remaining numbered active regions were either mostly
stable or in gradual decay. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in
available coronagraph imagery.

.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be low over 01-03 Jul with a chance for
M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flares.

Energetic Particle

.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels
and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels.

.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to continue at normal
to moderate levels on 01-03 Jul and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux
is expected to persist at background levels.

Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
The solar wind environment remained slightly elevated this period. Total
field strength ranged 3-07 nT and the Bz component briefly reached -7 nT
near the beginning of the reporting period. Wind speeds were mostly
between 460-500 km/s. The phi angle was positive.

.Forecast...
Enhanced solar wind conditions are expected to prevail over 01-03 Jul
due to the anticipated arrival of multiple CMEs from 26-29 Jun.

Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet and unsettled.

.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to reach unsettled and active levels
on 01-03 Jul due to the anticipated arrival of multiple CMEs from 26-29
Jun.