Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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730
FXUS63 KDDC 081840
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
140 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Lows in the 50s and 60s tonight

- Highs in the 80s Tuesday

- Heating up through the rest of the business week

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 140 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

A weak MSLP gradient will prevail across the FA tonight. This will
result in light and variable winds. Overnight minimums will be near
normal with values in the 50s and 60s. There was a small concern
of light precipitation developing across central Kansas tonight,
however, confidence is very low and 95% of the FA should not see
anything. A continued weak MSLP gradient continues Tuesday with a
very weak lee trough across Colorado. The net result is light winds
continuing tomorrow. Highs should be mainly in the mid to upper 80s.
The forecast will remain dry with little, if any precipitation probability
percentage points through the rest of the day and into the evening.

For the rest of the business week, will be watching the 500 hPa high
move from the Desert Southwest Wednesday to over the Rockies Saturday.
The net result is hotter highs for the FA. EPS has >90% probabilities
of >90F by the end of the business week. The next weekend is looking
hot with highs around 100F. Lows during this period will trend warmer
with mainly 60s increasing to mainly 70s to close out the extended
period. Unfortunately, precipitation looks unlikely through the period
under the prevailing anticyclone.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1111 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

VFR expected through TAF pd. Light NW to N winds will eventually become
light and variable through tonight under a weak MSLP gradient. Light
winds will continue tomorrow as the lee trough will remain very weak
across Colorado.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Sugden
AVIATION...Sugden