Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME
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863 FXUS61 KCAR 021432 AFDCAR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME Issued by National Weather Service Burlington VT 1032 AM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure will crest over the area today then move east Wednesday. A warm front will cross the region Wednesday night. A weak cold front will cross the region later Thursday into Thursday night. High pressure will cross the region Friday. A warm front will cross the region Saturday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... 10:25 AM Update...No significant changes needed to the forecast with high pressure in control across Northern New England bringing pleasant weather conditions. Made just some minor adjustments for thin cirrus drifting sewd from Quebec into far northwestern Maine late this morning per GOES-16 imagery this AM. Will see some periods of thin cirrus across the region through the afternoon hours today. The surface high pressure system cresting over the area today will bring a mostly sunny and warm day with inland highs cresting in the low to mid 80s. Soundings indicate there could be a few bubbly cumulus clouds during the afternoon, especially over the western and central highlands. Otherwise the day should remain mostly sunny across the area. High pressure will remain over the area tonight bringing a mostly clear night with the air cooling into the mid 50s. Some high clouds may begin to stray into the area from the west late at night ahead of a weak trough of low pressure beginning to approach from the Great Lakes region. Isolated patchy valley and river fog will be possible late at night as the air chills. && .SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... High pressure will begin to exit across the Maritimes Wednesday. Across northern areas, expect a partly sunny morning with clouds then increasing during the afternoon. Expect partly sunny skies Downeast Wednesday. A warm front will lift across the region Wednesday night. Expect mostly cloudy skies along with a chance of showers across northern areas Wednesday night, with increasing clouds along with a slight chance of showers Downeast. A weak cold front will begin to cross the region Thursday. Expect a chance of showers, with a slight chance of thunderstorms, across northern areas Thursday. Expect a slight chance of showers Downeast. Otherwise, expect mostly cloudy/partly sunny skies Thursday morning then partly sunny during the afternoon. The cold front will exit across the Gulf of Maine Thursday night, with high pressure then building toward the region late. Could still have a slight chance/chance of showers early Thursday night. Otherwise, expect partly cloudy skies Thursday night. Temperatures will be at slightly above normal levels Wednesday/Thursday. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... High pressure will cross the region Friday with partly cloudy skies, with only a slight chance of showers. Low pressure tracking northeast from the Great Lakes will draw a warm front across the region Saturday into Saturday night. Expect a chance of showers, along with a slight chance of thunderstorms, with the warm front. A cold front will cross the region Sunday with a chance of showers, along with a slight chance of thunderstorms. High pressure should then cross the region Monday. Near normal, to slightly above normal, level temperatures are expected Friday through Monday. && .AVIATION /15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... NEAR TERM: VFR conditions are expected throughout the area today and tonight. Winds will be very light northerly today then become calm tonight. SHORT TERM: Wednesday...VFR. South/southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Wednesday night...VFR/MVFR. A chance of showers north, slight chance Downeast. South winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to around 20 knots. Thursday...VFR/MVFR. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms north. Variable conditions with any thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers Downeast. South/southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Thursday night...VFR/MVFR early. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms north. Variable conditions with any thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers Downeast. VFR late with showers ending. South/southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming variable. Friday through Friday night...VFR. Slight chance of afternoon and overnight showers. Variable winds 5 to 10 knots. Saturday...VFR/MVFR early, then MVFR/IFR. A chance of showers. Slight chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast/south 10 to 15 knots. && .MARINE... NEAR TERM: Wind and seas will be below SCA today and tonight. Seas will average 2 to 3 ft across the offshore waters. Humid air over the cooler waters may produce a bit of light fog or mist. SHORT TERM: Winds/seas below small craft advisory levels Wednesday through Thursday night. A slight chance of showers Thursday into Thursday night. && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...None. MARINE...None. && $$ Near Term...WFO BTV Short Term...Norcross Long Term...Norcross Aviation...Bloomer/Norcross Marine...Bloomer/Norcross