824
FXUS65 KBOI 020245
AFDBOI

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boise ID
845 PM MDT Mon Jul 1 2024

.DISCUSSION...Showers and thunderstorms have pushed into eastern
Idaho this evening following the passage of an upper trough
axis. Earlier shower/storm activity brought localized gusts of
45-60 mph across open terrain south of the Snake River and
higher mtns in w-central Idaho. Generally breezy winds will
continue across the region through sunset, then quieting
overnight. The current forecast for tonight is on track.

&&

.AVIATION...Generally VFR. High density altitude will become a
factor by the weekend into much of next week. Surface winds:
variable less than 10 kt overnight becoming N-NW 5-15 kt with gusts
to 20 kt. Winds aloft at 10kft MSL: W-NW 15-25 kt.

KBOI...VFR with passing mid level clouds. Surface winds SW-W less
than 4 kt overnight, becoming NW 7-11 kt by Tues./16Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...Tonight through Wednesday night...A short wave
trough moving through the area is already helping to initiate
showers and thunderstorms. Additional storms are expected to
develop and move east through the early evening hours. Wind
gusts to 40 mph and small hail are possible with the stronger
storms. After this evening, the remainder of the short term
period will be dry. Temperatures will stay a few degrees below
normal Tue and Wed. Breezy northwest winds will occur Wed
aft/eve south and east of Boise, with gusts 25 to 35 mph.

LONG TERM...Thursday through Monday...High pressure will
dominate the weather pattern through the extended period. A
prolonged period of warming and drying is anticipated with a
probability of 30-50% of temperatures exceeding 105 degrees
Saturday into next week for lower valley locations. Overnight
temps this weekend are anticipated to drop into the upper 60s
during this period as well, adding to the potential for a
stretch of dangerous heat. Anyone with outdoor work/plans for
this weekend into next week should monitor the situation closely
as it evolves.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
OR...None.

&&

$$

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DISCUSSION...DG
AVIATION.....SA
SHORT TERM...SP
LONG TERM....MC