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FNAK79 PAFG 011343
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for 223 Little Black...Alaska Fire Service
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
543 AM AKDT Mon Jul 1 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 AKDT on July 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Similar conditions expected at the fire site today. Moderate west
winds will dominate early and shift west/southwesterly around
midnight. Good overnight RH recovery expected.

With the passage of the front Tuesday morning, winds will be out
of the southeast with gusts upwards to 35 to 40 mph at times.
Precipitation will begin around 7 AM AKDT and persist throughout
the day creating a good chance of wetting rain for the fire site.
Much cooler temperatures are expected as well with the maximum
around 60 degrees. No thunderstorms are expected with the passage
of this front

Scattered precipitation will remain in place through the weekend,
creating more opportunities for wetting rain. Temperatures will
remain cool with the max in the in the mid 60s. Winds will weaken
around the fire site sometime Wednesday afternoon and remain out
of the southwest, transitioning to southerly by late Thursday
morning.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Areas of smoke.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......West winds 8 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL increasing to 5400 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 8 mph.
Inversion burnoff...9 AM AKDT.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Areas of smoke.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 12 mph early weakening and
shifting southwest by midnight.
Ridgetop wind.......West winds 10 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 12 mph.
Inversion setup.....11 PM AKDT.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the day. Scattered rain showers in the
                    morning. Numerous rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................40 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 9 to 10 mph early, increasing
to 16 to 21 mph by 1 PM AKDT.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest winds 14 to 24 mph.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL increasing to 3600 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 23 mph.
Inversion burnoff...9 AM AKDT

$$
Forecaster...TWOMBLY
Requested by...Casey Lasota
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416746.2/AFG
.DELDT 07/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0