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FNAK79 PAFG 020552
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for Shaw Creek Dome 326...AK State Div of Forestry
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
952 PM AKDT Mon Jul 1 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2300 AKDT on July 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Overnight tonight could see an isolated thunderstorm near the
fire. Tomorrow conditions are looking to be influenced by the
strong low pressure beginning to move onto the Northwest coast of
Alaska. This system will bring strong southwest winds tomorrow and
then continue to strengthen Wednesday night. There is a good
chance for significant wetting rain Wednesday night through
Thursday. This cooler and rainy pattern is looking to persist
through the rest of the weekend.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Areas of smoke.
                    Scattered rain showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms.
CWR.................25 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 7 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......West winds near 10 mph.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL increasing to 4300 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 13 mph.
Inversion burnoff...9:00 AM

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the night. Isolated thunderstorms in
                    the evening. Isolated rain showers through the
                    night.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Ridgetop wind.......West winds near 10 mph.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Inversion setup.....3:00 AM

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the day. Isolated rain showers in the
                    morning. Scattered rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................2 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 13 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph possible in the evening.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL increasing to 4300 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 21 mph.
Inversion burnoff...8:00 AM

$$
Forecaster...Dennis
Requested by...Matthew Velderrain
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2417170.0/AFG
.DELDT 07/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0