Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
200
FNAK51 PAFC 041011
FWFAER
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
211 AM AKDT Thu Jul 4 2024
.DISCUSSION...
A pattern change to wetter and cooler conditions will begin by
tonight as a weakening front crosses the Alaska Range into
Southcentral. The highest rainfall amounts and best chance of any
wetting rain will be focused over higher elevations for this first
round, especially towards the Talkeetnas and Susitna Valley. A
second round of much more widespread wetting rainfall is likely on
Saturday.
AKZ101-050230-
ANCHORAGE-
INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...EKLUTNA
211 AM AKDT Thu Jul 4 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 60 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 61 (-3) 49 (+1) 53-60
RH % (24H TREND) 61-71 (+6) 86-92 (+1) 59-79
20FTWND(MPH) S 5-12 S 8-15 S 4-16
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3770 2405
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)S 14 S 12
CWR 0 30 0
LAL 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 54071 23881
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS RAIN RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 60 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 66 (-1) 54 (+2) 64
RH % (24H TREND) 64 (+6) 82-88 (+1) 62-68
20FTWND(MPH) SW 4-11 G19 S 5-14 G24 SE 1-13
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4216 2761
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW 15 S 9
CWR 0 30 0
LAL 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 63499 27610
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY, RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ111-050230-
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
211 AM AKDT Thu Jul 4 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 80 80
TEMP (24H TREND) 53-60 (-4) 47 (+1) 51-57
RH % (24H TREND) 65-74 (+9) 86-93 (+3) 64-84
20FTWND(MPH) SW 3-13 S 3-12 SW 2-10
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3656 1875
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW 13 S 9
CWR 0 50 30
LAL 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 49965 16940
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 70 70
TEMP (24H TREND) 66 (-3) 53 (+2) 63
RH % (24H TREND) 62 (+8) 84-91 (+2) 59-70
20FTWND(MPH) S 3-8 S 1-11 SE 2-11
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4303 2988
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW 13 S 8
CWR 0 50 10
LAL 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 64768 32868
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY, RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ121-050230-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING
211 AM AKDT Thu Jul 4 2024
.INLAND AREAS...
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 60 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 62-69 (-3) 52 (+3) 57-65
RH % (24H TREND) 46-57 (+6) 80-87 (-2) 53-72
20FTWND(MPH) SW 9-15 G23 S 7-15 G25 S 5-11
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4364 3531
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW 21 S 13
CWR 0 10 0
LAL 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 82456 44538
REMARKS...NONE.
.COASTAL AREAS...
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 40 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (+1) 52 (+3) 63
RH % (24H TREND) 53-65 (+2) 86 (0) 62-72
20FTWND(MPH) SW 8-17 G27 S 6-16 G26 S 6-13 G21
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3639 3448
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW 22 S 16
CWR 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 74705 48348
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ125-050230-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS
211 AM AKDT Thu Jul 4 2024
.INLAND AREAS...
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS RAIN RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 60 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 52-64 (-3) 43-49 (+1) 49-60
RH % (24H TREND) 54-73 (+8) 83-91 (0) 56-77
20FTWND(MPH) S 2-7 S 1-7 SE 3-11
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4051 2431
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW 9 SE 10
CWR 0 30 0
LAL 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 40562 25861
REMARKS...NONE.
.COASTAL AREAS...
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 60 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 50-57 (-4) 44-50 (+1) 49-56
RH % (24H TREND) 72-86 (+10) 88-99 (+1) 67-93
20FTWND(MPH) S 2-8 SW 0-7 SE 2-8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2158 1950
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)S 8 SE 8
CWR 0 20 20
LAL 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 19788 14278
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY, RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ141-050230-
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA
211 AM AKDT Thu Jul 4 2024
.ABOVE 2500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS RAIN RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 80 70
TEMP (24H TREND) 44-60 (-3) 36-44 (-1) 41-57
RH % (24H TREND) 56-82 (+6) 81-92 (+1) 57-84
20FTWND(MPH) SW 3-17 SW 4-18 SW 4-18
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4850 3611
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW 13 SW 13
CWR 10 50 40
LAL 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 71496 62810
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 2500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS RAIN RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 70 70
TEMP (24H TREND) 68 (0) 48 (-1) 63
RH % (24H TREND) 51 (-4) 76-86 (0) 46-52
20FTWND(MPH) S 4-19 G28 SW 5-20 G29 S 5-19 G27
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5753 3899
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW 13 S 15
CWR 0 40 0
LAL 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 76559 69480
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ145-050230-
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW
211 AM AKDT Thu Jul 4 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 90 70
TEMP (24H TREND) 52-58 (-3) 47 (0) 51-58
RH % (24H TREND) 65-78 (+10) 85-93 (+5) 64-82
20FTWND(MPH) SW 5-17 G27 SW 8-19 G31 SW 7-15 G24
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3583 2542
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW 15 SW 13
CWR 40 70 40
LAL 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 54267 34980
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 80 60
TEMP (24H TREND) 63 (-6) 51 (+1) 63
RH % (24H TREND) 58-72 (+17) 87-96 (+5) 62-70
20FTWND(MPH) S 3-11 G21 S 5-12 G22 S 5-11
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4145 3614
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)S 13 S 12
CWR 20 60 20
LAL 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 64107 44655
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY, RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY, RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$