Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Last Update: 403 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026

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Buffalo, NY Local Forecast Office

11NM WSW Dunkirk NY

Marine Zone Forecast

Tonight
South winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and thunderstorms late this evening. Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms after midnight, then a chance of showers late. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday
South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. A chance of showers in the morning. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday Night
Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south and increasing to 30 knots overnight. Showers in the evening, then showers with a chance of thunderstorms overnight. Waves 1 to 2 feet building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Thursday
Southwest winds to 30 knots becoming west. Showers in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Waves 3 to 5 feet building to 6 to 9 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet.
Thursday Night
West winds to 30 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers in the evening. Waves 6 to 9 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet.
Friday
West winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday
West winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday
West winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast. A chance of showers sunday night. Waves 1 foot or less.

winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.



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403 PM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026
 
 

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