Storms in the Plains; Fire Weather Threats in the Southwest and Southeast

A slow moving weather system will bring potential for scattered strong to severe storms with damaging wind and hail with areas of locally heavy rain in the South and Central Plains. Strong storms may also develop in the Central Great Basin and North Plains. Dry, gusty winds will produce critical fire weather in the Southwest, and elevated threats in U.P. of Michigan and the Southeast.
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Last Update: 405 PM EDT Sat May 15 2021

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Miami - South Florida Local Forecast Office

35NM E South Palm Beach FL

Marine Zone Forecast


...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY...
Synopsis: A stationary front will remain over the Florida Straits with high pressure over the eastern CONUS. This will allow for an increasing pressure gradient leading to breezy conditions over South Florida. High pressure will remain in place into early next week keeping the moderate to breezy easterly wind flow in place along with mostly dry weather except for a few showers over the Atlantic waters.

.GULF STREAM HAZARDS...Seas could reach 7 feet through this evening before slowly decreasing to 4 feet or less by Monday.

The approximate location of the west wall of the Gulf Stream as of May 15, 2021 at 1200 UTC...

10 nautical miles east southeast of Fowey Rocks. 18 nautical miles east southeast of Port Everglades. 5 nautical miles east southeast of Lake Worth. 7 nautical miles east of Jupiter Inlet.

This data courtesy of the Naval Oceanographic Office.

Tonight
Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet along the coast and 5 to 7 feet with occasional to 9 feet in the gulf stream. Period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Sunday
Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet along the coast and 5 to 7 feet with occasional to 9 feet in the gulf stream. Period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Slight chance of showers.
Sunday Night
East northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet along the coast and 4 to 6 feet with occasional to 8 feet in the gulf stream. Period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Monday
East northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Monday Night
East winds 10 to 15 knots along the coast to east around 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots in the gulf stream. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Tuesday
East northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Slight chance of showers in the morning, then chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
East winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts to around 25 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Slight chance of showers in the evening, then chance of showers after midnight.
Wednesday
East winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts to around 25 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 8 feet. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. Chance of showers. Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
East winds around 20 knots with gusts to around 25 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 9 feet. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Thursday
East winds around 20 knots with gusts to around 25 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 8 feet. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. Chance of showers. Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

Last Update: 405 PM EDT Sat May 15 2021
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