Severe Weather Shifts to the East; Record Warm Temperatures in the South

Scattered severe storms may produce damaging winds, hail, a few tornadoes, and isolated flash flooding from central New York/western New England southward into the Carolinas on Monday. An expansive early season heat wave will persist through the week bringing record-breaking temperatures across the Southwest through the Southern Plains through the week.
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Hazardous Weather Conditions

Last Update: 1037 AM EDT Mon May 16 2022

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Key West, FL Local Forecast Office

7NM E Vaca Cut FL

Marine Zone Forecast


Synopsis: Light to gentle, mainly southerly breezes will prevail early this week, as high pressure remains over the eastern Atlantic. The high pressure will build across the western North Atlantic to the Southeast United States by midweek, resulting in freshening east to southeast breezes for Wednesday through at least Friday.

The Approximate Shoreward Edge of the Gulf Stream as of May 14, 2022...

52 NM South of Dry Tortugas Light...on Loggerhead Key. 14 NM South of Cosgrove Shoal Light...off the Marquesas Keys. 10 NM South of Sand Key Light...off Key West. 14 NM South of Looe Key...off Big Pine Key. 23 NM South of Sombrero Key Light...off Marathon. 19 NM Southeast of Alligator Reef Light...off Islamorada. 16 NM Southeast of Molasses Reef Light...off Key Largo. 12 NM East of Carysfort Reef Light...off Ocean Reef.

Gulf Stream Information Courtesy of the Naval Oceanographic Office.

This Afternoon
Variable winds near 5 knots, becoming south to southwest and increasing to 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. nearshore waters smooth, becoming smooth to a light chop. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Tonight
East to southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Nearshore waters smooth to a light chop. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Tuesday
variable winds near 5 knots, becoming southeast to south. Seas 1 foot or less. Nearshore waters smooth. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Tuesday Night
East to southeast winds near 5 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Nearshore waters smooth. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Wednesday
East to southeast winds near 5 knots, increasing to 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Nearshore waters smooth, becoming a smooth to a light chop. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to near 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot. Nearshore waters smooth to a light chop, becoming a light chop. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Thursday
Southeast winds near 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Nearshore waters a light chop, becoming a a light to moderate chop. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to near 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Nearshore waters a light to moderate chop, becoming a moderate chop. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Friday
East to southeast winds near 15 knots, decreasing to 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Nearshore waters a moderate chop, becoming light to a moderate chop. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Friday Night
East to southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Nearshore waters choppy. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

Last Update: 1037 AM EDT Mon May 16 2022
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