Severe Thunderstorm, Flooding, and Winter Weather Threats on Tuesday

Scattered severe thunderstorms are forecast Tuesday from the southern Plains into the southern Great Lakes vicinity. Thunderstorms may also produce heavy to excessive rain that could pose a flooding threat from central Texas into southern Oklahoma and northern Missouri into southern Michigan. A heavy wintry mix is forecast for the Great Lakes into northern Maine. Read More >

For More Weather Information:

Buffalo, NY Local Forecast Office

14NM NNE Olcott NY

Marine Point Forecast

[NOTICE]
    • Today

      Today:W wind 5 to 8 kt becoming NE in the afternoon. Showers likely, mainly after 1pm.   Waves 1 ft or less.

      High: 44 °F
      Water: 34 °F

      W 8kt
      < 1ft

    • Tonight

      Tonight:ENE wind 11 to 14 kt increasing to 15 to 18 kt after midnight. Showers likely before 2am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2am and 5am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5am.   Waves 1 ft building to 3 ft.

      Low: 36 °F

      ⇑ENE 18kt
      Waves Building3ft

    • Wednesday

      Wednesday:E wind 13 to 17 kt. Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall.   Waves 3 to 4 ft.

      High: 46 °F

      E 17kt
      3-4ft

    • Wednesday Night

      Wednesday Night:SSW wind 17 to 20 kt becoming W 23 to 26 kt after midnight. A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a chance of showers between 8pm and 2am.   Waves 3 ft building to 7 ft.

      Low: 29 °F

      ⇑W 26kt
      Waves Building7ft

    • Thursday

      Thursday:WNW wind 22 to 25 kt decreasing to 19 to 22 kt in the afternoon. Partly sunny. Waves 7 ft subsiding to 5 ft.

      High: 34 °F

      WNW 25kt⇓
      7ftWaves Subsiding

    • Thursday Night

      Thursday Night:WNW wind 12 to 15 kt becoming WSW 9 to 12 kt after midnight. Partly cloudy. Waves 3 ft subsiding to 1 ft.

      Low: 30 °F

      WNW 15kt⇓
      3ftWaves Subsiding

    • Friday

      Friday:SE wind 15 to 20 kt increasing to 21 to 26 kt in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 36 kt. Rain and snow showers, becoming all rain after 2pm.   Waves 2 ft building to 5 ft.

      High: 39 °F

      ⇑SE 26kt
      Waves Building5ft

    • Friday Night

      Friday Night:W wind around 33 kt. Rain showers likely, possibly mixing with snow after 8pm, then gradually ending.   Waves 11 to 12 ft.

      Low: 29 °F

      W 33kt
      11-12ft

    • Saturday

      Saturday:W wind 21 to 26 kt decreasing to 13 to 18 kt. Partly sunny. Waves 8 ft subsiding to 3 ft.

      High: 34 °F

      W 26kt⇓
      8ftWaves Subsiding


High and low forecast temperature values represent air temperature.

Water temperature forecast is experimental.

Associated Zone Forecast which includes this point

Last Update: 7:58 am EDT Mar 10, 2026
Forecast Valid: 10am EDT Mar 10, 2026-6pm EDT Mar 16, 2026

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Detailed Forecast

Today
W wind 5 to 8 kt becoming NE in the afternoon. Showers likely, mainly after 1pm. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tonight
ENE wind 11 to 14 kt increasing to 15 to 18 kt after midnight. Showers likely before 2am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2am and 5am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5am. Waves 1 ft building to 3 ft.
Wednesday
E wind 13 to 17 kt. Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Waves 3 to 4 ft.
Wednesday Night
SSW wind 17 to 20 kt becoming W 23 to 26 kt after midnight. A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a chance of showers between 8pm and 2am. Waves 3 ft building to 7 ft.
Thursday
WNW wind 22 to 25 kt decreasing to 19 to 22 kt in the afternoon. Partly sunny. Waves 7 ft subsiding to 5 ft.
Thursday Night
WNW wind 12 to 15 kt becoming WSW 9 to 12 kt after midnight. Partly cloudy. Waves 3 ft subsiding to 1 ft.
Friday
SE wind 15 to 20 kt increasing to 21 to 26 kt in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 36 kt. Rain and snow showers, becoming all rain after 2pm. Waves 2 ft building to 5 ft.
Friday Night
W wind around 33 kt. Rain showers likely, possibly mixing with snow after 8pm, then gradually ending. Waves 11 to 12 ft.
Saturday
W wind 21 to 26 kt decreasing to 13 to 18 kt. Partly sunny. Waves 8 ft subsiding to 3 ft.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.


*Notices:

  1. This forecast is for a single location. For safety concerns, mariners should be aware of the weather over a larger area. Forecast information for a larger area can be found within the zone forecast and the NDFD graphics.
  2. The forecast conditions at a particular point may not exceed the criteria of a Small Craft Advisory, Gale, Storm etc. These watches/warnings/advisories are issued for the entire zone in which the point resides and mariners should act accordingly.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

Point Forecast: 43.54°N 78.61°W
Last Update: 7:58 am EDT Mar 10, 2026
Forecast Valid: 10am EDT Mar 10, 2026-6pm EDT Mar 16, 2026
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