Severe Thunderstorms in the Southeast; Critical Fire Weather in the Northern Plains

Isolated severe storms with locally damaging wind gusts and hail are possible from the coastal Carolinas into the Florida Peninsula, and along the central Gulf Coast. Heavy rain may cause localized areas of flash flooding in the Gulf Coast. Gusty winds and dry conditions may produce elevated to critical fire weather across the northern/central Plains. Record heat is expected in the West. Read More >

For More Weather Information:

Morehead City, NC Local Forecast Office

Big Ten Fathom MR

Marine Point Forecast

[NOTICE]
    • Today

      Today:WSW wind 7 to 11 kt becoming SSW in the afternoon. A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm.   Seas 2 to 3 ft.

      WSW 11kt
      2-3ft

    • Tonight

      Tonight:NNE wind 25 to 28 kt decreasing to 21 to 24 kt after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 35 kt. Showers and thunderstorms likely before 1am, then a slight chance of showers between 1am and 2am.   Seas 5 to 6 ft.

      NNE 28kt⇓
      5-6ft

      Small Craft Advisory
      Small Craft Advisory

    • Tuesday

      Tuesday:NE wind 16 to 21 kt. Mostly sunny. Seas 5 to 6 ft.

      NE 21kt
      5-6ft

      Small Craft Advisory
      Small Craft Advisory

    • Tuesday Night

      Tuesday Night:E wind 9 to 14 kt becoming ESE after midnight. Mostly clear. Seas around 4 ft.

      E 14kt
      4ft

    • Wednesday

      Wednesday:SSE wind 10 to 14 kt. Sunny. Seas 3 to 4 ft.

      SSE 14kt
      3-4ft

    • Wednesday Night

      Wednesday Night:S wind 16 to 21 kt. A chance of showers before 11pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11pm and 2am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am.   Seas 4 to 5 ft.

      S 21kt
      4-5ft

    • Thursday

      Thursday:W wind 15 to 18 kt decreasing to 9 to 12 kt in the afternoon. Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 8am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm.   Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft.

      W 18kt⇓
      5ftWaves Subsiding

    • Thursday Night

      Thursday Night:NW wind 7 to 9 kt becoming N after midnight. Mostly clear. Seas around 3 ft.

      N 9kt
      3ft

    • Friday

      Friday:N wind 6 to 11 kt becoming WNW in the afternoon. Sunny. Seas around 3 ft.

      N 11kt
      3ft


Associated Zone Forecast which includes this point

Last Update: 3:48 am EDT May 11, 2026
Forecast Valid: 7am EDT May 11, 2026-6pm EDT May 17, 2026

View Nearby Observations

Detailed Forecast

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH

Today
WSW wind 7 to 11 kt becoming SSW in the afternoon. A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tonight
NNE wind 25 to 28 kt decreasing to 21 to 24 kt after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 35 kt. Showers and thunderstorms likely before 1am, then a slight chance of showers between 1am and 2am. Seas 5 to 6 ft.
Tuesday
NE wind 16 to 21 kt. Mostly sunny. Seas 5 to 6 ft.
Tuesday Night
E wind 9 to 14 kt becoming ESE after midnight. Mostly clear. Seas around 4 ft.
Wednesday
SSE wind 10 to 14 kt. Sunny. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Wednesday Night
S wind 16 to 21 kt. A chance of showers before 11pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11pm and 2am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
Thursday
W wind 15 to 18 kt decreasing to 9 to 12 kt in the afternoon. Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 8am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft.
Thursday Night
NW wind 7 to 9 kt becoming N after midnight. Mostly clear. Seas around 3 ft.
Friday
N wind 6 to 11 kt becoming WNW in the afternoon. Sunny. Seas around 3 ft.

*Notices:

  1. This forecast is for a single location. For safety concerns, mariners should be aware of the weather over a larger area. Forecast information for a larger area can be found within the zone forecast and the NDFD graphics.
  2. The forecast conditions at a particular point may not exceed the criteria of a Small Craft Advisory, Gale, Storm etc. These watches/warnings/advisories are issued for the entire zone in which the point resides and mariners should act accordingly.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

Point Forecast: 34.4°N 76.6°W
Last Update: 3:48 am EDT May 11, 2026
Forecast Valid: 7am EDT May 11, 2026-6pm EDT May 17, 2026
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