Strong Coastal Storm to Produce Heavy Rain and Strong Winds Across the Northeast; Severe Thunderstorms will Develop across the Central and Southern Plains

A Nor’easter will impact the northeast with heavy rainfall, flash flooding, and strong winds through tonight. Meanwhile, scattered severe thunderstorms with large hail, damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes are forecast across parts of the southern and central Plains from late today through tonight. Critical fire weather conditions for southern portions of the High Plains this afternoon.
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Hazardous Weather Conditions

For More Weather Information:

Key West, FL Local Forecast Office

Ocean Reef FL

Marine Point Forecast

[NOTICE]
  • Tonight

    Slight Chc Showers

    W 10kt
    < 1ft

    Low: 76 °F

  • Wednesday

    Mostly Sunny

    SW 10kt
    < 1ft

    High: 86 °F

  • Wednesday
    Night

    Slight Chc Thunderstorms

    Light Wind
    < 1ft

    Low: 78 °F

  • Thursday

    Showers Likely

    SW 15kt
    < 1ft

    High: 85 °F

  • Thursday
    Night

    Showers Likely

    SW 15kt
    < 1ft

    Low: 76 °F

  • Friday

    Slight Chc Showers

    WSW 15kt
    < 1ft

    High: 83 °F

  • Friday
    Night

    Slight Chc Showers

    W 15kt
    < 1ft

    Low: 73 °F

  • Saturday

    Slight Chc Showers

    W 15kt
    < 1ft

    High: 82 °F

  • Saturday
    Night

    Mostly Clear

    WNW 10kt
    < 1ft

    Low: 70 °F


High and low forecast temperature values represent air temperature.

Associated Zone Forecast which includes this point

Last Update: 7:16 pm CDT Oct 26, 2021
Forecast Valid: 8pm CDT Oct 26, 2021-6pm CDT Nov 2, 2021

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Detailed Forecast


Synopsis: A low pressure system developing near the Carolina coast will support light west to northwest breezes across the Florida Keys through Wednesday. A frontal boundary will approach Florida as early as Wednesday night resulting in freshening southwest to westerly breezes, and Cautions and Small Craft Advisories may be required for portions of the Keys as early as Thursday. Fresh breezes will persist through Friday night and Saturday, likely diminishing Saturday night.

The Approximate Shoreward Edge of the Gulf Stream as of October 25...

31 NM South of Dry Tortugas Light...on Loggerhead Key. 15 NM South of Cosgrove Shoal Light...off the Marquesas Keys. 14 NM South of Sand Key Light...off Key West. 20 NM South of Looe Key...off Big Pine Key. 24 NM South of Sombrero Key Light...off Marathon. 28 NM Southeast of Alligator Reef Light...off Islamorada. 22 NM Southeast of Molasses Reef Light...off Key Largo. 11 NM East of Carysfort Reef Light...off Ocean Reef.

Gulf Stream Information Courtesy of the Naval Oceanographic Office.

Tonight
W wind 5 to 10 kt becoming NW after midnight. A slight chance of showers. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wednesday
NW wind 5 to 10 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Mostly sunny. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wednesday Night
Variable winds 5 kt or less. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thursday
SW wind 10 to 15 kt. A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thursday Night
SW wind around 15 kt. Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Seas 1 ft or less.
Friday
WSW wind around 15 kt. A slight chance of showers. Seas 1 ft or less.
Friday Night
W wind around 15 kt. A slight chance of showers. Seas 1 ft or less.
Saturday
W wind 10 to 15 kt. A slight chance of showers. Seas 1 ft or less.
Saturday Night
WNW wind 5 to 10 kt. Mostly clear. Seas 1 ft or less.

*Notices:

  1. This forecast is for a single location. For safety concerns, mariners should be aware of the weather over a larger area. Forecast information for a larger area can be found within the zone forecast and the NDFD graphics.
  2. The forecast conditions at a particular point may not exceed the criteria of a Small Craft Advisory, Gale, Storm etc. These watches/warnings/advisories are issued for the entire zone in which the point resides and mariners should act accordingly.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

Point Forecast: 25.31°N 80.27°W
Last Update: 7:16 pm CDT Oct 26, 2021
Forecast Valid: 8pm CDT Oct 26, 2021-6pm CDT Nov 2, 2021
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