Severe Thunderstorms and Heavy Rainfall from the Lower Mississippi Valley to the Mid-Atlantic; Active Pattern Continues in Hawaii

Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected today from the ArkLaTex and Lower Mississippi Valley through the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic. Thunderstorms may produce heavy to excessive rain that could pose a flooding threat today from east Texas into New York. A powerful kona storm will continue to impact Hawaii through Saturday, bringing heavy rainfall, strong winds, and severe thunderstorms. Read More >

Coastal Waters Forecast for Mexico Bay NY to the St. Lawrence River (LOZ045) (Text-Only)
NWS Forecast for: Mexico Bay NY to the St. Lawrence River (LOZ045)
Issued by: National Weather Service Buffalo, NY
Last Update: 1103 AM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026




Rest Of Today: East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast 15 to 20 knots. A chance of rain showers late this morning, then rain and scattered thunderstorms this afternoon. Waves in ice free areas 2 feet or less building to 2 to 4 feet.

Tonight: South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west and increasing to 35 knot gales overnight. Rain showers with a chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then rain showers likely with a chance of snow showers overnight. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 10 to 15 feet. Waves occasionally around 19 feet.

Thursday: West winds to 30 knots. Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly sunny. Waves 10 to 15 feet subsiding to 9 to 12 feet. Waves occasionally around 19 feet.

Thursday Night: West winds to 30 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 8 to 11 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 14 feet.

Friday: South winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest and increasing to 40 knot gales. Snow and rain during the day, then snow showers likely with rain friday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 13 to 17 feet. Waves occasionally around 22 feet.

Saturday: West gales to 40 knots becoming north and diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. Snow showers likely during the day. Waves 12 to 16 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 20 feet.

Sunday: East winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south and increasing to 45 knot gales. Rain showers with snow showers likely. Waves 2 feet or less building to 7 to 11 feet. Waves occasionally around 14 feet.

winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

wave heights are for ice free areas.







Zone Forecast: Mexico Bay NY to the St. Lawrence River (LOZ045)

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