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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1030 AM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-240300-
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to Volusia-
Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Inland Volusia County-
Northern Lake County-Orange-Seminole-Southern Brevard County-
Osceola-Indian River-Okeechobee-St. Lucie-Martin-
Coastal Volusia County-Southern Lake County-
Northern Brevard County-
1030 AM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A southerly flow of increasing moisture coupled with an approaching
trough ahead of the first strong cool front of the season will
lead to scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms across
east central Florida this late afternoon and evening. Extensive cloud
cover should limit the intensity of any storms which form today,
so the main threats are expect to be cloud to ground lightning and
locally heavy downpours causing ponding of water on roadways and in
poorly drained areas. Brief wind gusts to 35 or 40 MPH will also be
possible.

Today`s activity will move northeast at 20 to 25 MPH. Move indoors
to safety if skies look threatening or you hear thunder.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
Intense showers or storms will also be capable of producing wind
gusts to around 35 knots on area inland lakes, as well as the
intracoastal and nearshore Atlantic waters, as they move quickly
northeastward at around 20 knots. Mariners should keep a lookout
toward the south and southwest for approaching storms or darkening
skies.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
Weather and ocean conditions will lead to a moderate risk for
dangerous rip current at areas beaches today. The threat will be
highest from around 200 PM through sunset due to tidal effects.
Check with the local beach patrol for additional information about
ocean hazards. Swim only within sight of a lifeguard, and never
swim alone.

.WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
Southeast to south winds of 15 to 20 knots will produce seas up
to around 6 feet over the local Atlantic waters. Operators of
small craft should exercise caution today, especially if heading
well offshore.

.RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
The middle and upper Saint Johns River Basin remains at or near
Minor Flood Stage near Cocoa and Sanford, and Moderate Flood Stage
at Geneva, Sanford, and Astor. River levels are expected to slowly
decrease through the end of this week. Scattered showers are in the
forecast today through Tuesday night as a cold front approaches and
moves through central Florida. Regardless of additional rainfall
over the basin, river levels will remain above flood stage into
November, with a very slow rate of decline.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
A few lingering thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday as the cold
front pushes through east central Florida. A surge of northwest
winds behind the front will lead to a period of poor to hazardous
boating conditions on Wednesday, which will gradually subside
through late week.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed today.

$$

Cristaldi/Johnson



Short Term Forecast

Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1114 AM EDT MON OCT 23 2017

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-231800-
Coastal Volusia-Flagler Beach to Volusia-
Brevard County Line 20 NM to 60 NM Offshore-Flagler Beach to Volusia-
Brevard County Line Out to 20 NM-Indian River-Inland Volusia-Martin-
Northern Brevard-Northern Lake-Okeechobee-Orange-Osceola-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20 NM to 60 NM Offshore-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet Out To 20 NM-Seminole-
Southern Brevard-Southern Lake-St. Lucie-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20 NM to 60 NM Offshore-
Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet Out to 20 NM-
1114 AM EDT MON OCT 23 2017

.NOW...

...Mostly Cloudy and Warm Today...

Skies will be mostly cloudy today with afternoon temperatures
warming into the mid 80s across East Central Florida.

With plenty of moisture moving into the region ahead of an
approaching cold front...expect an increasing chance for showers and
late afternoon thunderstorms. A few thunderstorms will produce
frequent lightning...brief heavy downpours...and gusty winds.

At area beaches...expect rough and choppy surf along with a moderate
risk of rip currents. If you choose to enter the water...only swim
within sight of a lifeguard and never swim alone.


&&

Additional details...including graphics are available online at:
http://www.weather.gov/mlb/blog

$$




U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
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Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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