Heavy Rainfall Threat to the South from Possible Tropical/Subtropical System Over the Weekend

A tropical disturbance over the Yucatan Peninsula has a High chance of developing into a tropical or subtropical depression in the Gulf over the Memorial Day Weekend. This system has the potential to bring heavy rainfall to portions of the Gulf Coast over the next 5-7 days. The threat of rip currents will also steadily increase along the Gulf from FL to LA over the holiday weekend.
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Hazardous Weather Conditions

Last Update: 423 AM EDT Fri May 25 2018

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Tampa Bay, FL Local Forecast Office

3NM S Saint Pete Beach Reef FL

Marine Zone Forecast


Synopsis: Weak Atlantic high pressure will exit the region today with afternoon seabreeze thunderstorms that move offshore during the evening hours. The tropical wave and developing surface feature near the Yucatan Peninsula is expected to slowly move into the Southern Gulf of Mexico tonight through Saturday with increasing southerly winds and seas in the Eastern Gulf with widespread showers and thunderstorms. Over the holiday weekend, hazardous winds may approach gale force at times and small craft should remain in port until conditions improve. Continue to check the forecast frequently as it is likely to change.

Today
Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated thunderstorms.
Tonight
Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to around 15 knots in the late evening and overnight. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Isolated thunderstorms in the evening, then scattered thunderstorms after midnight.
Saturday
East winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Numerous showers in the morning. Scattered thunderstorms. Widespread showers in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
East winds around 20 knots then becoming southeast 20 to 25 knots after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Bay and inland waters rough. Widespread showers in the evening. Scattered thunderstorms. Numerous showers after midnight.
Sunday
Southeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 6 to 10 feet. Bay and inland waters rough. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms.
Sunday Night
South winds 20 to 25 knots diminishing to around 20 knots in the late evening and overnight. Seas 6 to 10 feet. Bay and inland waters rough. Numerous showers in the evening. Scattered thunderstorms.
Monday
South winds around 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. Scattered thunderstorms.
Monday Night
South winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Scattered thunderstorms.
Tuesday
South winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

Last Update: 423 AM EDT Fri May 25 2018
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